Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.001685 0.001795 0.001909 0.002035 0.002172 0.002317 0.002480
2025-01-19 0.001509 0.001663 0.001828 0.002020 0.002237 0.002475 0.002759
2025-01-26 0.001346 0.001519 0.001711 0.001941 0.002210 0.002517 0.002894
2025-02-02 0.001294 0.001491 0.001716 0.001993 0.002326 0.002718 0.003218
2025-02-09 0.001244 0.001459 0.001710 0.002026 0.002417 0.002890 0.003510
2025-02-16 0.001228 0.001465 0.001746 0.002110 0.002570 0.003141 0.003913
2025-02-23 0.001175 0.001420 0.001718 0.002109 0.002615 0.003256 0.004145
2025-03-02 0.001099 0.001345 0.001646 0.002047 0.002576 0.003260 0.004227
2025-03-09 0.001041 0.001287 0.001593 0.002007 0.002561 0.003290 0.004344
2025-03-16 0.001004 0.001254 0.001569 0.002002 0.002592 0.003382 0.004548
2025-03-23 0.000962 0.001213 0.001533 0.001979 0.002595 0.003434 0.004697
2025-03-30 0.000928 0.001181 0.001507 0.001968 0.002613 0.003507 0.004877
2025-04-06 0.000881 0.001133 0.001461 0.001931 0.002602 0.003547 0.005028
2025-04-13 0.000845 0.001097 0.001431 0.001916 0.002619 0.003631 0.005252
2025-04-20 0.000790 0.001035 0.001362 0.001842 0.002548 0.003580 0.005265
2025-04-27 0.000782 0.001035 0.001378 0.001890 0.002658 0.003804 0.005723
2025-05-04 0.000768 0.001027 0.001383 0.001922 0.002743 0.003995 0.006142
2025-05-11 0.000770 0.001041 0.001418 0.002000 0.002904 0.004312 0.006794
2025-05-18 0.000748 0.001019 0.001402 0.001999 0.002941 0.004434 0.007123
2025-05-25 0.000711 0.000975 0.001350 0.001941 0.002885 0.004400 0.007174
2025-06-01 0.000681 0.000941 0.001312 0.001903 0.002858 0.004412 0.007307
2025-06-08 0.000663 0.000922 0.001297 0.001899 0.002885 0.004516 0.007616
2025-06-15 0.000641 0.000897 0.001271 0.001877 0.002882 0.004567 0.007826